Market Texans by 3 · Elo Texans by 4.8 · ESPN FPI Cowboys by 1.3
One number to watch
The Cowboys defense is last in EPA per play allowed; the Texans offense is 24th. Something has to give.
L 17–19 at Colts. Close game by the play, too: it says Texans by about 1. A 2-point loss is within the normal range.
Full schedule →Texans 0–3, 2 games behind the Jaguars in the AFC South; 2 games behind the playoff line (2–1). Texans: 16% to win the AFC South, 30% to make the playoffs.
| Team | W–L | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Jaguars | 2–1 | — |
| Colts | 1–2 | 1 |
| Texans | 0–3 | 2 |
| Titans | 0–3 | 2 |
Teams that started 0–3 since 2002: 1 of 112 won their division, 2 of 112 made the playoffs.
Texans: 5 of 6 AFC South games left; the easiest remaining schedule in the division by Elo.
All standings →A losing team so far. Outscored by 8 a game; the play says about 6 of that was earned. 2 one-score losses. Offense 24th, defense 17th of 32.